Forecast Utility

It’s nice to know that scientists have narrowed down “the big one” to a 30 year window… it would be nice if they focused on something a little more immediate IMO. Just yesterday the weather guy was predicting a 10-15 degree drop in temperature from Saturday and it ended up feeling like it was hotter.

Traffic forecasts! Now there would be something useful. “At 10am there is a 60% chance there will be a backup at 92 and 101 because of a minor fender bender in the northbound lanes.” WTF am I going to do with a “big one in 30 years forecast”?

A strong and potentially deadly earthquake is virtually certain to strike on one of California’s major seismic faults with a magnitude of at least 6.7 within the next 30 years, scientists said Monday in releasing the first official forecast of statewide earthquake probabilities.

[From New analysis: California in for a devastating quake within 30 years]

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